1* Free Play on Nevada +3 -105
[1%] Free Play on Mississippi State +7
1 Unit FREE PLAY on East Carolina +22
The UCF Knights are in a tough spot this week against the ECU Pirates. The Knights are coming off their biggest win of the season. They went on the road and beat Memphis 31-30 with a big comeback in the second half. They shut out the Tigers after intermission and in a downpour. But now they are probably in for a letdown here against a game ECU team that has showed well for much of the season. The Pirates have outgained five of their six opponents this season in spite of their 2-4 record. They upset UNC 41-19 as 16.5-point home favorites, only lost 13-20 at USF as 20-point dogs, and outgained Houston last week by 9 yards in what was not the 20-42 blowout that the final score showed. Backup QB Holton Ahlers led the Pirates on two late touchdown drives and has earned the start at quarterback this week. Ahlers leads the team in rushing with 248 yards and 5 touchdowns on 6.5 per carry. He gives the Pirates a dual-threat that will make them tougher to stop. And this ECU defense is better than it gets credit for, giving up just 351 yards per game this season despite the tough schedule. They have what it takes to slow down this UCF offense and stay within the number Saturday. Give me East Carolina.
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1* Free Sharp Play on Ohio State vs Purdue over 67 -105
My money is not he OVER in Saturday's primetime Big Ten showdown between Ohio State and Purdue. I think enough people are talking about Ohio State needing to be on upset alert, that we won't see the Buckeyes not 100% locked in like they were last week against Minnesota. Ohio State has scored 40 or more in 5 of 7 games and Purdue gave up 40 to Missouri at home. Buckeyes offense ranks No. 2 in the country at 556.8 ypg. They have the No. 3 ranked passing attack at 371.4 ypg. Purdue is 109th agains the pass, giving up 267.5 ypg. I would be shocked if Ohio State didn't get to 40 points. While the defense is suspect, Purdue has the No. 10 offense in the nation and we have seen Ohio State's defense exposed on multiple occasions. Bet the OVER 67!
Uconn +34 1.1% Free Play
Close your eyes and back the Huskies this week. They are off a bye, and going against an inflated number considering they are 0-5-1 ATS, but there are some things to like here as they go up against South Florida, who is ranked in the top 25, and we all know they are not a top 25 team. South Florida has a much bigger game on deck at Houston. Uconn has by far played a tougher schedule, and that has resulted in some very poor defensive statistics and offensive statistics. Uconn has faced on average an offensive YPP team ranking 27th in the country. That's just insane and when you put that in perspective South Florida's defense has faced #76.8. On offense, Uconn' has faced an average defense ranking 47.2 in YPP defense, while South Florida has faced #91. No wonder the statistics are so lopsided.
The Huskies should be able to move the ball a bit here on the ground. That is the one thing Uconn has been able to do, and that's a hole in South Florida's defense as they rank 88th defending the run. Uconn has a mobile QB in David Pindell here who should be able to move the ball.